29.09.2020
Risavika LNG front month has further increased by 4.8 % week on week to 22.45 EUR/MWh for October, colder weather forecast resulted in higher demand for natural gas in Europe.
Fuel oil 3.5 has decreased by 2.5 % to 232.33 USD/t, while low sulfur oil products showed a mixed picture. MFO 0.5 has gained 1.3 % and traded at 299.34 USD/t and MGO 0.1 has lost 2.9 % week on week and reached 321.71 USD/t. Oil prices have been relatively stable, thus, oil products market is impacted mainly by inventory situation.
Independent jet stocks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) region rose to the highest on record at 1.03 million t in mid-August and are now at more than 90% of that. Floating stocks peaked at 1.3 million t at the same time and have remained there. The strength of marine fuel prices over jet fuel has prompted some blending of straight-run kerosene to produce very low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) in Singapore, the world's largest bunkering hub, and in the Middle East. However, it is not yet a widespread practice in Europe. Fuel inspectorates in Antwerp indicated that there was some interest in adding jet into marine fuels, but that it could create issues for blends reducing fuel viscosity and density, according to Argus Media.
LNG Risavika - LNG FOB Risavika
LBG Risavika 10 % - 10 % blend of Liquified Biogas
FO 3.5 FOB Rdam – European 3.5% Fuel Oil Barges FOB Rdam (Platts) Futures Quotes
MFO 0.5 FOB Rdam - European FOB Rdam Marine Fuel 0.5% Barges (Platts) Futures Quotes
MGO 0.1 FOB ARA - Gasoil 0.1% Barges FOB ARA (Platts) Futures Quotes
ULSD FOB ARA - European Diesel 10 ppm Barges FOB ARA (Platts) Futures Quotes
Front Month Price index |
||||||
LNG Risavika* |
LBG blend Risavika** |
FO 3.5 FOB Rdam |
MFO 0.5 FOB Rdam |
MGO 0.1 FOB ARA |
ULSD FOB ARA |
Unit |
22.45 |
25.45 |
16.66 |
20.55 |
22.09 |
23.30 |
EUR/MWh |
380.32 |
431.14 |
232.33 |
299.34 |
321.71 |
324.98 |
USD/t |
Source: CME Group, Gasum, Argus Media
*An estimate for LNG FOB Risavika
** An estimate for 10 % LBG blend FOB Risavika