Evgenia Vanadzina Gasum

Evgenia Vanadzina

Analyst
evgenia.vanadzina@gasum.com
tel. +358401801066

10.06.2021  

Maritime market update: LNG consumption as a marine fuel has almost doubled in 2020

Risavika LNG increased 1.7 % week on week and was at 35.80 EUR/MWh for July contracts. European gas prices remain bullish on tight supply. June is the maintenance period for many Norwegian supplies and French LNG terminals. Although there is no need for gas for heating, there is a demand for storage injections and power production, when the renewable production is low.

Oil prices and refineries’ utilization have been increasing during last week. Oil product prices were also in rise despite the inventory build. Fuel oil 3.5 (FO 3.5) gained 6.7 % week on week to 390.22 USD/t, low sulphur oil (MFO 0.5) increased by 5.3 % to 500.37 USD/t, and marine gasoil (MGO 0.1) gained 2.7 % to 573.60 USD/t.

LNG consumption as a marine fuel has accelerated in recent years, achieving a five-fold volume growth in less than five years, reaching 1.5 million tons in 2020 and almost doubling from 2019, according to International Gas Union (IGU) annual LNG report released last week. The positive trajectory of LNG, often seen as a viable alternative fuel for the shipping industry, was on the back of a higher number of LNG-propelled vessels and development of LNG bunkering capabilities in recent years. On average, over 20 LNG-propelled vessels were added each year since 2017. With an operational fleet of 175 and order book of over 200, increasing interest in the adoption of LNG-powered vessels is anticipated to drive additional growth in demand for LNG as a marine fuel in the near term.

 

Front Month Price index

LNG Risavika*

LBG blend

Risavika**

FO 3.5 FOB Rdam

MFO 0.5 FOB Rdam

MGO 0.1 FOB ARA

ULSD FOB ARA

Unit

35.80

38.80

27.98

34.35

39.38

41.77

EUR/MWh

606.39

657.21

390.22

500.37

573.60

582.60

USD/t

 

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LNG Risavika - LNG FOB Risavika 

LBG Risavika 10 % - 10 % blend of Liquified Biogas

FO 3.5 FOB Rdam – European 3.5% Fuel Oil Barges FOB Rdam (Platts) Futures Quotes

MFO 0.5 FOB Rdam - European FOB Rdam Marine Fuel 0.5% Barges (Platts) Futures Quotes

MGO 0.1 FOB ARA - Gasoil 0.1% Barges FOB ARA (Platts) Futures Quotes

ULSD FOB ARA - European Diesel 10 ppm Barges FOB ARA (Platts) Futures Quotes

 

Source: CME Group, Gasum, IGU

*An estimate for LNG FOB Risavika 

** An estimate for 10 % LBG blend FOB Risavika